Cryptocurrency markets are jittery to say the least. Bitcoin is hanging by a thread at an important support level, which may be the start of a new consolidation or correction phase. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has once again retreated back to test its 50-day simple moving average. With investor fears growing that this slowdown has further to run before hitting bottom. Major altcoins besides Ethereum, including BNB, Solana, Cardano, XRP, and Sui, look weak. Right now, they are all being tested as we speak at their respective major support or resistance levels. These next few days may be critical in setting the short-term direction of the crypto market.

Bitcoin's Price Action Hinges on $100,000 Support

Bitcoin price action recently has kept almost every trader on the edge of their seats. The cryptocurrency then retraced back down to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $103,159. Buyers have been buying right now to get in and prevent prices from falling further. This region is very important as a prolonged close below it could cause a much larger sell-off to ensue.

Bitcoin’s price history has shown this clear “W-shaped” pattern followed by three re-accumulation phases as price squeezed to a new all-time high. This characteristic is usually a precursor to a reversal or period of consolidation. It’s suggestive of a market that could be at a major tipping point. The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) has flattened at $106,097. Moreover, the RSI (relative strength index) is currently drifting around the midpoint, further corroborating the potential for a consolidation in the short-run.

If $100,000 doesn’t hold as support, it could pave the way for an even deeper correction. If this resistance level doesn’t hold, the BTC/USDT pair may decrease to $92,000. This drop could put disastrous losses on highly-leveraged traders and anyone who bought near recent peaks. Bulls must defend this area to prevent more downside pressure from this level.

Any strong bounce from here would be an encouraging sign. Conversely, if the price breaks and sustains above $111,980, it will be a signal that the uptrend has re-started. This step will no doubt bring all the sidelined investors back into the market and could very easily send Bitcoin to all-time highs. The current all-time high of $111,980 is still the ultimate resistance marker to break for Bitcoin before it can continue its bullish path. In the immediate future, trader sentiment remains extremely interested in whether or not Bitcoin is healthy enough to hold up above $100k.

Altcoins Show Mixed Signals Amid Market Uncertainty

While Bitcoin's price action sets the overall tone for the cryptocurrency market, several altcoins are navigating their own unique challenges. BNB, Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), XRP, and Sui are all showing unique patterns that are important to watch closely.

BNB, Binance’s native token has been in a consolidation mode. Now it has been trading in a very tight range between $693 and $634 over the last few days. This consolidation is normal and indicates a balance between buying and selling pressure, where bulls and bears are unable to take control. A close and break below $634 would signal that the bears have taken the reins. Most dauntingly, this shift may cause even greater declines. Traders will want to watch this consolidation range carefully for an eventual breakout or breakdown.

Solana (SOL) pumped up above its moving averages at first, but the bulls were unable to hold these moves. This failure to follow through exposes a weakness underneath and signals that the upward momentum may be running out of steam. On its SOL/USDT pair, the altcoin is now retesting a support around $140 that is important for bulls to hold. A breach of this high would likely lead to a more significant retracement, possibly aiming at much softer support around lower moving averages.

Cardano (ADA) has had a hard time as it fell off from the 50-day SMA of $0.72. That’s a strong signal that bears are selling aggressively into any bounce. This negative sentiment usually means the path of least resistance is down. If the price breaks and closes below the $0.60 level, the ADA/USDT pair may tank to the strong support at $0.50. Investors should tread cautiously and look to get ahead of these levels for possible re-entry trades.

XRP setting up a very nice first breakout above the moving averages as the bulls failed to follow through on this breakout. With this latter tendency to hold the break continuing, at least for now, it seems the upside could be limited in the short term. Conversely, the XRP/USDT pair may drop to $1.61 and then to the support at $1.28 if sellers step up their efforts. As with all new technology, traders need to stay on their toes and adjust their trading strategies to match.

Sui (SUI) has met with rejection as well, rolling over from the 50-day SMA ($3.55). Bears have been defending this key level very aggressively which led to this rejection. This creates a strong headwind for bulls when attempting to advance the price. The failure to do so or to push back this resistance indicates more downside may be in store for SUI.

Market Outlook and Key Levels to Watch

While they argue, the broader cryptocurrency market is approaching a pivotal moment, with Bitcoin continuing to test important support levels and altcoins sending mixed signals. We wait to see in the coming days if the market will indeed consolidate. It might be overdue for a sharper correction. Investors and traders need to pay close attention to these key levels mentioned above and recalibrate their plans accordingly.

The floor to watch on the downside is $100,000, with the upside at the all-time high of $111,980. A prolonged drop under $100,000 may be enough to set off a round of forced selling. A breakout above $111,980 would indicate that the upward trend has resumed.

Altcoins such as BNB, Solana, Cardano, XRP and Sui provide distinct patterns of support and resistance. Monitor these leading indicators closely as they might determine peak trading periods. Now would be a good time for traders to get familiar with these levels and get ready to respond to any breakouts or breakdowns.

Market participants should continue to be aware of larger macroeconomic conditions and regulatory trends, both of which have historically played a huge role in influencing cryptocurrency price action. All three factors—uncertainty over inflation, interest rates, and the increasing regulatory scrutiny—add to the current market volatility.

"means the end of the prior trend" - John Bollinger